…that could change this weekend.
So our thinking for later this week– based on the latest data from forecast models, we are predicting a rain/snow mix off-and-on through Friday afternoon and evening. We’ve kept these chances at less than 30% for now. Then, we believe it’s possible that some spots would transition to just snow by early Saturday morning (again about a 20% chance). Here’s the issue– latest forecast data is leaning even drier, which would mean the likelihood of any snow is actually decreasing.
This forecast will change. As we get new model data, we will have to continuously update the prediction with this new information
We are not forecasting a massive “winter storm.” Please be weary of where you obtain your weather information. You can always count on weather team to “shoot it to you straight”, if you will. We want to be as accurate as possible, not first.
As always, the KTVE/KARD weather team is keeping a very close eye on this system. Please follow each of us on Facebook and Twitter for more frequent updates. We will also update this article as more information becomes available. Please check back for more.
And from KSLA in Shreveport:
Further to the south, KATC in Lafayette:
There is much uncertainty about the moisture fields Friday into Saturday, but it does appear that overcast skies, periods of cold rains and drizzle with temperatures holding in the low-mid 40s are in the cards Friday.
If there is any lingering moisture going into Friday night and Saturday morning, it could get a little more “interesting” as temperatures will be dropping closer to the freezing mark…but for now, drier air is expected to be working its way into the region in concert with the colder temperatures.
Clouds and a few sprinkles, or perhaps a few sleet pellets, may be possible Friday night through Saturday morning but any precipitation will be insignificant accumulation-wise.
As Lioneaux would say, “Damn you, Rob Perillo.”
And here in Baton Rouge, WAFB…
-Prepare for MUCH colder weather as we move closer to the weekend – a stronger disturbance will help lift moisture northward out of the Gulf of Mexico, giving us scattered/numerous showers (50% – 60%) during the day Friday
-Staying cold and cloudy with a 30% coverage of light rain heading into Friday evening …
-As a result, there is the potential for a wintry mix during that particular window of time … the highest chance in SW Mississippi; while SE LA has the chance for very light sleet after midnight Friday.
While northern Louisiana could see a wintry mix, WDSU meteorologist Jay Galle said southeast Louisiana will have to wait to see whether there will be moisture by the time cold air arrives in the region.
He said the current forecast does not predict the cold air will arrive until after the front passes, sweeping all the moisture into the Gulf of Mexico.
Galle said some areas near the state line with southwest Mississippi could see a stray snow flake or sleet, but the New Orleans metro most likely will not see frozen precipitation. But he added that the weekend will be “very cold.”
So this isn’t likely to be a winter wonderland by any means. But if you’re in North Louisiana, you might get a little bit of the white stuff. If you’re lucky, that is.
The rest of us just get wet. And cold.