Watch this imbecile talk about football on the floor of the Senate, wasting the taxpayers’ time and prattling on about the Pistol offense and how he met Colin Kaepernick in church one day. And if you can make it all the way through you’ll get a special treat.

Certainly you’d like to celebrate your successes. Nothing wrong with that. But the job isn’t done by any means and won’t be for years to come.

In this posting, we would like to graphically display what we said by showing both the 2008 electoral map and the 2012 projected electoral map.

 Contniue reading at http://winwithjmc.com/archives/2203 

John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information.

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In the aftermath of the earthquake, government officials seemed all too willing to show their sympathy to the Haitian people.  Many travelled all the way to Haiti to observe the disaster and meet with the victims.  They also allowed 1200 Haitian orphans to seek refuge in the United States with the understanding that the children would be granted permanent residence. Representative Jeff Fortenberry (R-NE) authored the Help Haiti Act for the purposes of expediting the process.

Receiving extensive bipartisan support, the Help Haiti Act was passed through the House and the Senate, and after being amended in the Senate, the bill was placed on the agenda for this week’s legislative session.  However, Pelosi, citing “scheduling considerations,” tabled the bill on Monday.  Session continued on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday with no sign of the bill being mentioned for consideration.

Word in the Halls of Congress is that Democrats wish to attach the Help Haiti Act to the controversial DREAM Act in order to make it more palatable for Republicans considering opting out of a Senate filibuster.  Fortenberry addressed his colleagues in a letter, citing his concern over Pelosi’s “scheduling”:

I write to express my concern with circumstances preventing H.R. 5283, the Help HAITI Act, from coming to the Floor for a vote.  I returned to Washington on Monday, anticipating the House to act to give vulnerable Haitian orphans and their adoptive American families, who have endured so much heartbreak and tragedy, the comfort of knowing they are here to stay.  My bipartisan measure, the Help HAITI Act, was originally passed by the House on July 20, 2010, then was amended and passed by the Senate on August 4, 2010.  I, along with numerous colleagues and members of the international adoption community, was pleased to see its inclusion on Monday’s suspensions list. 

I was then surprised when it was pulled from legislative business on Monday, and with the consequent secrecy about its current status.  My office has heard reports that this critical legislative fix, which would clear legal obstacles to U.S. citizenship for as many as 1200 Haitian orphans who were in the process of being adopted before the January 12 earthquake, may be used as a vehicle for a controversial immigration measure. 

However, this past Thursday, Harry Reid announced his desire to introduce the bill on the senate floor.  In the event of a senate introduction, the concern that the Help Haiti Act would be attached to the DREAM Act would disappear.  But in the unfortunate case that the Help Haiti Act is written in with the DREAM Act, the decision for GOP representatives is a simple “no.”  We cannot allow the DREAM Act to pass, and if necessary, the GOP must postpone legislation on the Help Haiti Act until 2011.  It is unfortunate that the Haitian ethnicity is not a large enough minority demographic to merit the attention of Congressional Democrats.  They would much prefer to use Haitian orphans as political collateral to establish a powerful liberal voting bloc through the passage of the DREAM Act.

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Pedro Ramirez is the student body president at Fresno State University.  By all accounts, Pedro is a well respected student and a hard working member of society.  The only problem is that Pedro has never had a job in his life.  Because he doesn’t have a social security number, and he is not a citizen of the United States.

Of course, this minor stipulation is perfectly acceptable by the left-wing nutjobs who run California, and it is also perfectly acceptable for Fresno State University officials who have supported Pedro’s bid for student body president and his “right” to continue to receive an education in the United States.

Before going any further, it should be pointed out that Ramirez was smuggled into the United States by his parents when he was 3 years old.  He is obviously not someone who should be entirely blamed for the current scandal.  He was put in this position by his parents who decided to violate the laws of the United States to serve their own self-interest.  Now, Ramirez has been put in a position to lose everything that he has worked for, when the reality is that he never should have had any of it to begin with.

The revelation of Pedro’s status as an undocumented immigrant came in the aftermath of his election as student body president.  The president is allotted a stipend of $9,000 for serving the student body.  On receiving the news that he had earned such a sizable stipend– it is reported that he was unaware of the stipend– he alerted school officials of his illegal status and declined the money on those grounds.  However, some administrators knew of his illegality prior to this scandal, as Ramirez was required to submit proper documentation to the college in order to gain acceptance as a freshman.  They allowed him to attend the university.

His opposition in the student government race discovered his illegal status and submitted the story to the school newspaper, where the information was published and the controversy unleashed.  Here is a statement from school officials:

School administrators said Ramirez broke no rules by running for president of Associated Students Inc.

“To our way of thinking he hasn’t done anything wrong,” said Paul Oliaro, vice president for Student Affairs.

“This is a very diverse region, agriculture is dominant, and this is going to cause a lot of controversy. But the reality is that these students are … here, they’re legitimate students, and if anything, Pedro shows what they can contribute,” Oliaro said, adding, “We’ll see how this plays out.”

Yes, the reality is that the students are here, but also, the reality is that California state officials allow them to be here with rulings like Monday’s mandate by the California State Supreme Court:

On Monday, the California Supreme Court decided unanimously that illegal immigrants who graduated from state high schools can continue to receive lower, in-state tuition at California’s public universities and colleges. It’s the first state Supreme Court ruling of its kind in the nation.

The case was brought on behalf of citizens who are paying the higher out-of-state tuition rates. The group contended that lower tuition could not be offered to illegal students and denied to some citizens.

So, an illegal immigrant is allowed to take advantage of benefits that regular citizens are denied.  Legitimate citizens of this country are require to pay higher tuition rates than illegal Mexicans.  It almost makes me want to throw up.  These kinds of ridiculous hard left decisions are not only completely wrong in a constitutional sense, but they put hard working American citizens at an unfair disadvantage to illegal immigrants who have never held a job in their life…

And why should Ramirez step down?  Why should he voluntarily leave the state, leave the country?  The inability of the state to enforce the laws in place allows illegals to take advantage of benefits they do not deserve.  If you can manage to get through high school without being discovered, you can go ahead and take advantage of benefits designated for U.S. citizens.  Here is a statement from a Steve Camarota, advocate for an organization supporting immigration reform:

“Why should he step down?” Camarota said. “He’s very clearly gotten the message that immigration law doesn’t matter — you can violate it with impunity.”

Why indeed?  This situation is one in which the entire slate of American citizens should be calling out in disgust.  Latinos included. How do you think legal immigrants and home born Hispanic citizens feel about an illegal immigrant taking advantage benefits reserved for legitimate citizens? I can tell you that all legal citizens of this country should be disgusted with the handling of this situation.

And then there are these statements from Ramirez, who seems to not understand that he violated United States laws:

“In a way, I’m relieved,” said Ramirez, a 22-year-old political science major from Tulare, Calif. “I don’t want to be a liability or cost the school donations. I never really thought this was going to happen. But now that it’s out there, I finally feel ready to say ‘Yes, it’s me. I’m one of the thousands.’ “

“Could you leave my parents out of it?” he asked. “They’ve done everything for me.”

Is this kid for real??? He’s not 3 years old anymore, so this kind of ignorance is somewhat inexcusable.  However, it probably can be somewhat attributed to the indoctrination of California society, which allows illegals to violate the laws of our nation unhindered.  Obviously, this type of government sends to wrong message, and clearly Ramirez has decided to join them in evading the reality of the situation.

Leave you parents out of it?  They’ve given you everything?  Look it’s tough that you have achieved a level of success in America, but it was done illegally.  It’s an illusion.  His parents didn’t give him anything but an illusion of success and the probability that this success would be stripped away in an instant.  Ramirez isn’t losing anything, because he was never entitled to anything in the first place.

And of course, hovering in the shadows behind all of this controversy is Harry Reid’s infamous Dream Act.  The Democrats of the current lame-duck session have promised to push for a vote on the Dream Act before the new congressmen enter into session in 2011.  Ramirez is a member of an organization called the Dream Network:

He is also involved in the Dream Network — an organization of undocumented students working for passage of the Dream Act, a proposed federal law that would allow students living in the U.S. illegally to earn legal status if they graduate from high school and complete two years in college or the military.

How about the Democrats actually focus on the issues that affect legal American citizens?  Like perhaps the Bush Tax Cuts?  Maybe, cutting government waste?  Maybe, stimulating the private sector by reducing regulations on things like domestic energy production?  But no, the Democrats are committed to forcing a vote that grants illegal residents of this country the opportunity steal benefits from hardworking Americans. 

Ramirez has repeatedly spoken of his aspiration to achieve the “American Dream.”  One problem: the American Dream is reserved for  Americans.  If you are a legal citizen of this country, you are entitled to work for success and the achievement of the American Dream.  If you are not a legal resident of the United States, you are not entitled to achieve that success.  The Left has adopted this untenable perception that the American Dream applies to all people in our country regardless of their legality, and this perception is simply not fair and not acceptable.  It’s hard enough to work for the American Dream as a citizen of this country, but when illegals come into our country and take opportunities from hardworking Americans there is no opinion in the entire world that can convince me this is acceptable.

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But compared to the morons on the other side, Mitch McConnell and his herd of RINO’s look like Bodhisattvas. Which, for the unwashed, is dot-Indian for “really cool wise guys.” Let’s face it – you couldn’t pay for fortune like Harry The Dull bestowed on the GOP today.

What are we talking about here? You won’t believe this…

In a letter obtained by POLITICO, Reid tells his colleagues that the party needs to “better integrate our legislative- and message-crafting functions into a coordinated nucleus managing policy, press and politics.” 

As a result, he said, the Senate leadership will unite its policy arm with its communications center into a “joint operation” run by Schumer.

“I have asked Senator Schumer, whose communications abilities and tactical skills we all greatly respect, to lead this effort as chairman of the new office.” 

First of all, Harry Reid is an obnoxious ass. There are few people in American politics who rank anywhere in his neighborhood on the obnoxious ass scale.

But there is a guy whose obnoxiousness makes Reid look like St. Philip Neri. And that would be Chuck The Schmuck, Killer of Banks, Sanctioner of Stewardesses, Fellator Of Microphones. And Reid, in his septuagenarian brilliance, thinks what the American people need is more cowbell after two years of delivering a “F You” message to all of us. He apparently thinks turning it over to Schumer to set a more attractive tone will improve the Democrats’ electoral fortunes next time.

Then again, maybe not. Let’s not forget that Schumer lusted after Reid’s job with alarming vigor when it looked like the old man was getting trounced in Nevada; Reid might be an idiot but he’s not suicidal. He deals with the Schmuck on a constant basis and knows what a backstabbing snake he is.

So to keep Schumer from delivering the unkindest cut of all, Reid apparently has decided to throw him a bone. And if he makes a fool of himself for the millionth time, it’ll be the end of Reid having to press his butt against the wall for fear Schumer might use it for target practice.

But isn’t it amazing that the Democrats keep talking about “messaging” as the reason they took it in the pooper on Nov. 2? Between Reid’s babbling and the President’s continuous blaming their defeat on “the economy,” you’d get the impression these guys have been on a Zoloft binge since the first of the month.

This is the gift that keeps on giving for Republicans like McConnell, as it more or less drops the standard he needs to meet almost to something he can actually handle. It also insures that, unless the Obamites smarten up, the carnage in November of 2012 will make this year’s cycle a mere belly-rub regardless how uninspiring the RINO herd might be.

It’s not great for the country, though. Obama’s policies and the Schmuck’s messaging might produce a GOP majority for the ages in two years, but life in America under an unrepentant Obama-Reid-Pelosi reprise, replete with messaging courtesy of “Putzhead,” is gonna suck. It’s not good having dopes like this in charge of anything that matters.

1. He has no idea what the duties of his office entail.  But he craftily posits that no one else running really knows either…
2. He will not be a corrupt politician because he really doesn’t care.
3. Hey, it can’t get any worse, you might as well elect me.


 
The only problem is that he might possibly be illiterate.

Do we actually issue a literacy test for our Congressmen? It sometimes seems as though we don’t.  Hey, if Brazil doesn’t want this guy, we’ll take him. I already like him better than Harry Reid.

Here is a montage of Grumpy’s campaign commercials.  Enjoy.



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Continue reading at  http://winwithjmc.com/archives/2063

John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information.

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Poll Closings/Expectations

In any “wave” election, you start seeing unexpected results/an indentifiable trend almost from the beginning. For example, in the 1994 GOP landslide, three Indiana Democrats went down to defeat early in the night. In the 2006 Democratic landslide, Indiana Democrats defeated three Republican incumbents – we are using Indiana as “Exhibit A” because polls close at 5PM Central time……

Continue reading at http://winwithjmc.com/archives/1793

John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information 

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This is the last weekly pre-election analysis we are doing. Election Day edges ever closer, and the 5PM (Central time) Tuesday night poll closings in Indiana and Kentucky will provide early hints as to how the night will proceed. Our calls on Senate/Governor’s races are based on a composite of polls conducted over the last 7 days and are based on the following criteria:

(1) Safe Democratic (dark blue on the map)/Safe Republican (dark red on the map) – either a candidate leads by 10 or more points, or a candidate has over 50% in polls;

(2) Lean Democratic (light blue on the map)/Lean Republican (light red on the map) – a candidate leads by 3-9 points;

(3) Tossup (yellow) – a candidate leads by less than 3 points;

(4) No Senate/gubernatorial race in 2010 for this state (black)

Continue reading at http://winwithjmc.com/archives/1949

John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information.

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It’s not the greatest ad of all time, but when the opponent says something that stupid you really don’t have to embellish it too much.