So says American Research Group in a poll of likely voters over the weekend.
The poll used a sample of 600 respondents, of whom 42 percent were Democrats, 15 percent were Republicans and 43 percent were independents. Scott Brown carries 97 percent of Republicans and 64 percent of independents, while Martha Coakley carries 73 percent of Democrats.
Brown leads 53% to 43% among men while Coakley leads 50% to 46% among women.
Also, a total of 8% of likely voters say they have already voted by absentee ballot, with Brown leading Coakley 54% to 44%.