Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s October 4 Presidential scorecard

(Note:Now that the tempo of the general election season has accelerated, we have shortened the time period of the “look back” period for polls from 15 to 7 days, and it will remain at that interval for the remainder of election season)

Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days)

Obama vs Romney: 49-46%

President Obama job approval: 49-48% approve/disapprove (was 49-47% approve/disapprove)

Generic Congressional Vote: 45-45% Republican (was 46-44% Democratic)

US Senate Projections: 50 Democrats, 45 Republicans, 1 Independent, 4 Tossups (was 48-46-1 Democrat)

Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 17 Democrats, 1 Independent, 2 Tossups (was 30-17-1 Republican)

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