It’s already one of the reddest states in America in terms of actual voting; the last Democrat to carry Louisiana in a presidential election was Bill Clinton in 1996, and there isn’t a single Democrat among the statewide elected officials. Truth be told, the only Democrat above the level of the Louisiana House of Representatives who got elected in something other than a majority-black district is Foster Campbell on the Public Service Commission, and when he’s termed out next year almost nobody believes his seat won’t flip Republican.

Jay Luneau is the only white Democrat in the state senate. He represents a majority-black district.

This is a very Republican state.

But because Louisiana’s elections – other than the federal races, per the new system installed last year by the state legislature –  are jungle primaries where party affiliation doesn’t play any part in the structure, there hasn’t been much reason for voter registration to match voting patterns.

That’s changing. On Monday, the Secretary of State’s office released its monthly report on voter registrations around the state, and the LAGOP broke out the champagne…

️Voter Registration Update!

Last month Republicans added 1,197 voters, while Democrats lost 2,239.
Republicans are now less than 30,000 registrations away from flipping Louisiana.

Visit https://t.co/upxZwP4Gxc to get involved and help us get Republicans registered to vote! pic.twitter.com/rsP5f70olC

— Republican Party of Louisiana (@LAGOP) December 2, 2025

At the rate things are moving, and it’s very likely they’ll accelerate in the coming months, there will be more registered Republicans in Louisiana than registered Democrats by October of next year. Our guess is it’ll be a good bit sooner than that.

Why? We’re counting on the fact that all of the action in next year’s Senate race, at least in the primary, will be on the Republican side as John Fleming, Blake Miguez, Eric Skrmetta and Julie Emerson are trying to knock out incumbent Bill Cassidy. The Democrats don’t even have a declared candidate yet, or at least none we’ve seen, which tells you they’re only nominally going to participate in the race. And it’s a closed party primary race.

That’s likely to push a lot of registered Democrats who haven’t voted Democrat in forever to change their registration to R so they can have a say in who the senator is going to be.

If you’re a long-time conservative registered R, you’re going to have mixed feelings about this, obviously, because anybody who’s still a registered Democrat in an age of AOC, Hakeem Jeffries, Elissa Slotkin, Mark Kelly, Adam Schiff and Zohran Mamdani, not to mention that hideous AWFL who nearly managed to win a congressional seat in a red district outside of Nashville, is probably not all that conservative.

That isn’t an ironclad rule, of course. But there is a legitimate concern about diluting the voter base of the state GOP by registering middle-of-the-road Democrats as Republicans.

So why is this a good thing?

It’s good because people being registered as R’s rather than D’s means they’re on a list which can be purchased and marketed to for get-out-the-vote and fundraising purposes, and while Louisiana Republicans are doing fairly well these days you want to institutionalize those advantages as best you can, not to mention message to and evangelize your voting base. This isn’t just about running candidates and winning elections; things like constitutional amendments and tax elections are important, too, and we’ve had a couple of those around the state go badly for Republican governors and mayors.

Knowing who your voters are is crucial. And knowing those Democrats who vote Republican, which gets a lot easier when those Democrats actually become Republicans, is not a small thing.

So we’ll be counting down the days until this great flipover happens, and we’ll chuckle at the Louisiana Democrat Party’s excuses for why they can’t hang on to their voters anymore.