10:15 p.m. – Fox News just called Ohio. It’s over. We lost. Buy gold.

10:14 p.m. – This might be premature. But we’re looking at this thing and we see the following…

Romney is down 36,000 votes in Florida. 10 percent of the vote is still out there. It’s possible he can overcome that.

Romney is down 80,000 votes in Ohio. 34 percent is uncounted. That’s still possible.

Romney is down 56,000 votes in Colorado. 34 percent is uncounted. Is that possible? The Denver Post doesn’t think so; it just called the race for Obama.

Romney is down 82,000 votes in Iowa. 59 percent is uncounted. There’s still a chance he can overcome that.

Romney is up 24,000 votes in Virginia, with 23 percent uncounted. We’ll bet he holds on to that.

Let’s say he gets Virginia. He has to make up the difference in Florida, Ohio and Iowa, unless they’re wrong about Colorado or Wisconsin.

Frankly, we’re running out of reasons to think this is going to work out. We’re starting to believe for the first time that the worst president in American history is actually going to get re-elected.

Maybe we’re wrong. Hopefully we’re wrong. It’s close. But this looks like a lost election.

The GOP is holding on to the House, so the chances of Obama being able to do much more than manage the decline of the country. We have a political stalemate. The popular vote is a tie; as of this moment Romney has 1.2 million more votes than Obama does. Not sure whether that will hold up or not as the West Coast vote comes in.

But Romney isn’t going to win this, guys.

10:02 p.m. – George Allen lost in Virginia. The Senate is an unmitigated disaster, and one effect of that is going to have to be that John Cornyn is sent packing as the NRSC chair. Cornyn has performed abysmally.

10:00 p.m. – Finally. North Carolina is called for Romney. It took until 97 percent of the vote was counted. Romney also claims Idaho and Montana. Obama gets Hawaii, Washington and California.

9:54 p.m. – Y’know, 31 percent of the vote is counted in Wisconsin and Romney has a 51-48 lead there. The reason why they’ve called it is that Dane County (Madison) is only 33 percent in and Milwaukee County is only 10 percent in.

9:52 p.m. – Obama wins Minnesota. Nobody really thought it would be otherwise.

9:49 p.m. – More positive movement in Florida. the lead is down to 16,000 with 11 percent still left to count.

9:42 p.m. – Romney is gaining in Florida. With 88 percent counted, he’s within 36,000 votes and most of what’s left uncounted is in counties he’s running well ahead in.

Except for the fact that 30 percent of Dade County, where Obama is up 62-38, is still out there.

I dunno. I just dunno.

9:20 p.m. – No split-state electoral votes. Romney gets all of Nebraska’s, Obama gets all of Maine’s.

New Mexico called for Obama.

9:12 p.m. – Todd Akin has officially screwed himself in Missouri. That race just got called for Claire McCaskill.

Florida is at 86 percent, and Obama still has a 37,000-vote margin. Ohio is at 51 percent and Obama’s got a 99,000-vote margin. VA and NC still look OK.

8:52 p.m. – Scott Brown lost in Massachusetts. At this point there has been virtually nothing but bad news in the Senate, and a GOP takeover there looks like it’s not going to happen.

And Obama won New Hampshire.

Obama has a 15,000-vote lead in Florida with 84 percent counted. The experts are saying Romney looks good there. He’s also looking good in North Carolina (51-48) and Virginia (51-47).

So, Ohio. Obama’s ahead by 122,000 votes there, and the lead continues to dwindle.

And something else.

Hearing that the calls in Wisconsin might have been early. Romney is still up by 21,000 votes there with 11 percent counted. It might not be over.

8:44 p.m. – Tommy Thompson just lost the senate race in Wisconsin to Tammy Baldwin. It’s beginning to look like the GOP has run out of gas in the Badger State after that recall, which is a bit perplexing.

8:42 p.m. – Romney is moving up in Ohio. He’s cut Obama’s margin to 52-46, with a mere 137,000-vote margin, with 40 percent counted. And the counties not yet on the board are all in the southwestern and western part of the state where Romney should lead.

8:30 p.m. – No joy in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin. Both called for Obama.

It’s Ohio, Florida, Virginia and North Carolina for Romney. The wave isn’t going to materialize; he’s going to have to gut out a close one.

OH: 53-46 Obama, with 36% in;

VA: 51-47 Romney, with 48% in;

NC: 51-48 Romney, with 73 percent in;

FL: 50-50, Romney by less than 1,000 votes, 81 percent in.

8:05 p.m. – Looks like 2000 all over again in Florida, though the trend is Romney’s friend. With 71 percent counted, Obama has 3,091,510 and Romney 3,088,667. Santa Rosa, Washington and Gadsden Counties, all in the Panhandle, haven’t reported yet.

We’re going to take a little break and start some updates to the Louisiana liveblog in a bit.

8:00 p.m.  – Michigan was called for Obama just now. Texas and Louisiana for Romney, along with Kansas and North Dakota. And South Dakota. Plus Wyoming. And Nebraska, though there’s a congressional district still up for grabs.

Obama also got a call in New York.

7:58 p.m. – Bob Casey was just called the winner in Pennsylvania’s Senate seat, though the results so far only show him ahead 49-47 with 1 percent in. So that’s a pickup the GOP didn’t get.

In the Indiana Senate race, Richard Mourdock is down 48-46 with 53 percent counted. Too early to make a call there.

7:56 p.m. – Now 56-43 Obama in Ohio at 24 percent counted. Romney is reeling in that big early lead.

7:52 p.m. – At 62 percent in Florida, Obama’s lead is back out to 98,000. Still way too soon there. And Obama is closing a little in Virginia; it’s 54-44 at 34 percent. Romney inches closer in Ohio; 57-42 with 23 percent counted.

7:50 p.m. – With seven percent counted in Michigan, Obama leads 53-47. Obama is ahead 62036 in New Hampshire with seven percent counted. With 48 percent counted in Texas Romney is ahead 57-42.

7:47 p.m. – Romney inches closer in Florida. With 61 percent counted Obama’s ahead 50-49, but the lead is down to 87,000 votes.

7:45 p.m. – Romney is up 55-43 in Virginia with 31 percent counted. He’s up 50-49, 26,000-vote margin, with 56 percent counted in North Carolina.

7:42 p.m. – Florida is tightening again with 59 percent counted. Romney has cut it to a 111,000 vote lead for Obama. Still a ton of red counties uncounted.

7:40 p.m. – Linda McMahon lost to Chris Murphy in the Connecticut Senate race. She positioned herself as a pro-Obama Republican. With 3 percent in, Murphy was pounding her, 63-36 and the race was called.

With 22 percent counted in Ohio, Romney has picked up a point and narrowed Obama’s margin to 58-41.

7:37 p.m. – Half the vote is counted in North Carolina and it’s still Romney, 51-48. In Virginia it’s 56-42 Romney with 27 percent in.

7:33 p.m. – Arkansas was just called for Romney. No surprise there.

Not sure what to make of this, but Fox News now says 56 percent of Florida is in and Obama is ahead 51-48, with a 155,000-vote margin. That’s a totally different number than we saw 10 minutes ago.

7:30 p.m. – The early Ohio numbers are UGLY. With 20 percent in, Obama has a 59-40 advantage. Nobody seems to be too exercised about that – largely because it looks like a big chunk of what’s counted is Cuyahoga (Cleveland), Franklin (Columbus) and Hamilton (Cincinnati), which are heavy Democrat counties (Hamilton is supposed to be somewhat competitive).

7:25 p.m. – They’ve called the Florida Senate race for Bill Nelson. He’s killing Connie Mack 55-43.

And with 41 percent in, Romney is now ahead by 51-48 in North Carolina.

Karl Rove says Romney is outperforming McCain by substantial margins in Florida, Virginia and Ohio.

7:22 p.m. – With 35 percent in, Romney edges to a 14,000-vote lead in North Carolina.

7:21 p.m. – BIG MOVE for Romney in Florida. The state is at 57 percent counted and Romney is now in the lead, 51-48. He has a 126,000-vote margin.

Manatee County, south of Tampa, and the Panhandle make up the lion’s share of what hasn’t come in yet.

7:20 p.m. – Virginia at 16 percent has Romney ahead 57-42. Ohio at 13 percent is Obama, 57-42.

Tennessee was called for Romney just now.

7:15 p.m. – Virginia and North Carolina…

VA: Romney, 59-40 with 14% in (but not the DC suburbs so far; neither is much of the vote in the Norfolk area which will be pretty heavily Romney)

NC: Obama, 50-49 with 31% in. No read on how the uncounted vote breaks,

7:10 p.m. – Couvillon weighs in again…

SWING FLORIDA COUNTY: Flagler went 50% Obama. Romney ahead with 52%.

7:05 p.m. – Florida at 43 percent has Romney moving up a bit more; it’s now 51-49 for Obama. Romney is up in Polk and Sarasota Counties. The margin is 67,000 votes and none of it is from the Panhandle.

7:00 p.m. – Hearing word that Romney’s camp thinks they’ve won Pennsylvania, they’re nervous about Virginia because the DC surburbs have huge turnout, they feel good about Florida and Colorado.

Also that Romney isn’t sure about Ohio.

Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, DC and Maine – minus the 2nd district – were called for Obama.

Alabama, Mississippi and Oklahoma were called for Romney.

6:55 p.m. – Now 35 percent counted in Florida and Obama has moved up to 52-48 ahead. It appears a bunch of Dade County vote came in, and all of it was Obama – he moved from 50-50 with Romney to 62-38 in Dade.

No Panhandle vote, no south/east Tampa suburban vote yet. The middle part of the state is beginning to fill in and that’s mostly a Romney vote. But Alachua County, which is Gainesville, and Leon County, which is Tallahassee, are both showing blue.

Still too early to make much of a call in Florida.

6:50 p.m. – Romney seems to be moving up in Florida; the margin is now 50-49 with 30 percent counted. Still very little Panhandle vote and nothing from the Tampa suburbs to the east and south (Polk, Manatee, Hardee, Sarasota and DeSoto counties).

And Georgia was just called for Romney. he’s up 67-33 with two percent in.

6:47 p.m. – Two percent counted in North Carolina and Obama is up 59-40. No meaning there.

At 28 percent in Florida, Obama is at 51-48. But the Panhandle has very little vote counted so far.

Romney is ahead 70-29 in Georgia at 2 percent counted.

6:38 p.m. – Just one percent of the vote is counted in South Carolina, and Obama has 75 percent of the vote (against 24 for Romney).

And the state has been called.

For Romney.

That’s how this stuff works.

6:35 p.m. – Our John Couvillon tweets about Florida, which is still 50-49 Obama but with some Miami vote coming in…

FLORIDA: Too close to call, but the Miami Dade early vote shows 50/50 split. Was a 58% Obama county in 2008

6:32 p.m. – Only two percent counted in Virginia, and Romney’s ahead by a 58-40 margin. Not much to see there just yet.

6:30 p.m. – Fox just called West Virginia for Romney. They did it without even having numbers from there.

6:25 p.m. – Now with 18 percent of the vote counted in Florida, and it’s 50-49 in Obama’s favor. Only 10,000 votes separate the candidates out of better than 1.5 million counted.

Nothing has been counted in the Panhandle yet, though, and that’s heavily Romney. But nothing has been counted in the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale area, either. Or lots of other areas which are pro-Romney areas.

Still far too soon to read anything into Florida’s numbers.

6:10 p.m. – Four percent in down in Florida and Obama is ahead 55-45. Don’t think that means anything.

6:00 p.m. – Fox News just called Indiana for Romney. With 4 percent of the vote in, he’s sitting at 60 percent. Also Kentucky, which with four percent in he has 66 percent of the vote.

Kentucky is no surprise. Indiana isn’t, either, but Obama did win it in 2008.

Obama picked up Vermont in Fox’ call. Haven’t seen any results from there yet, but Romney isn’t winning Vermont.

5:45 p.m. – Jim Geraghty at National Review has some interesting stuff from a GOP source…

Exit polls show 60 percent of voters say economy is the number one issue and 60 percent say economy is getting worse or has stagnated. Voters say Romney is the best to handle the economy and they trust him to handle the deficit.

Update from Ohio – high turnout in GOP counties, low turnout in Dem counties and Biden went to Cleveland. Clearly Chicago is nervous.

Good news from the Florida panhandle, Republicans continue to outnumber Dems in Colorado, Romney had a great showing in Pittsburgh and Paul Begala is concerned with the drop in enthusiasm with young voters.

5:20 p.m. – How do you feel about federal Jobs Corps vans busing Obama voters to the polls? That’s Wisconsin for you.

5:05 p.m. – Fox News just had a graphic up from exit polling in Ohio which said Romney is polling 37 percent of union households in that state.

If Romney is getting 37 percent of union households in Ohio, Obama can’t win.

That said, see below for what to think of exit polls. Exit polls have their uses, but as an early determinant of election results they’re horrid.

Which is why we don’t think much of Drudge’s front page:

5:00 p.m. – At Breitbart, John Nolte passes along some Ohio turnout information from a GOP source…

Quick update – turnout is up in GOP Geauga County, Ohio where McCain won with 57% of the vote and down in Athens County, the home of Ohio University and where Obama won with 67% in 2008. Early vote in Geauga? 125% of 2008. Athens? Down 10% from 2008.

SHOT: GOP county turnout up

• Plain Dealer: Geauga election chief predicts 80 percent voter turnout today
• Geauga County early vote was 125% more than 2008 early vote
• McCain won Geauga County with 57% and Bush got 60% in ‘04

CHASER: Dem county turnout down

• WOUB: Athens County Election Officials: Morning Voter Turn Out Low
• Athens County early vote was 10% less than 2008 early vote
• Obama won Athens County with 67%

4:45 p.m. – Remember Rev. Joseph Lowery, the idiot who’s been stumping for Obama with the applause line that he thinks all white people will go to hell?

Guess who Barry’s hangin’ with tonight?

President Obama will watch voting returns with the pastor who prayed at his 2008 inauguration and last week said that all white people go to hell when they die.

“We’ve gotten word that the Rev. Joseph Lowery, one of Barack Obama’s frontier supporters in 2008, will be at the side of the president and first lady tonight in Chicago,” the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.

Lowery is a civil rights hero, but he made some inflammatory comments last week. “Lowery said that when he was a young militant, he used to say all white folks were going to hell,” the Monroe County Reporter (Ga.) reported in covering a rally where he spoke in Forsyth, Ga. “Then he mellowed and just said most of them were. Now, he said, he is back to where he was.”

Asked about his remarks later, Lowery said it was a joke.

Lowery called for black voters to turn out in support of Obama. “I don’t know what kind of a n—– wouldn’t vote with a black man running,” he said at the rally, per the Reporter.

Oscar suggested we play a little theme song in honor of the Reverend, who apparently has supplanted Jeremiah Wright as Obama’s go-between with the Almighty…

4:40 p.m. – In Missouri, Claire McCaskill is worried. Could she be about to lose to once-forgotten Todd Akin?

McCaskill has consistently led most polls, for one, and her campaign has dramatically outspent Akin’s.

But, on this Election Day, Democratic leaders are still biting their nails.

Some Democrats worry that poll respondents may not be admitting their intention of voting for Akin, due to embarrassment over his “legitimate rape” comments.

“People might be humiliated to admit that they’ll vote for Todd Akin, but they’ll close the curtain and do it,” one Democratic source speculated. “It’s hard to poll when you have such a radioactive situation, because some people aren’t going to admit it.”

The most recent public poll in Missouri, conducted by Democratic-leaning PPP Polls, showed McCaskill leading Akin by 4 points.

4:20 p.m. – And we thought this was absolutely delicious. From a different delegation of foreign poll-watchers than the one the Project Vote thugs invited here comes some news the Left would prefer not to have seen. Namely, that the international folks watching American elections can’t believe we don’t require ID at the polls…

“It’s an incredible system,” said Nuri K. Elabbar, who traveled to the United States along with election officials from more than 60 countries to observe today’s presidential elections as part of a program run by the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES). Your humble Cable guy visited polling places with some of the international officials this morning. Most of them agreed that in their countries, such an open voting system simply would not work.

“It’s very difficult to transfer this system as it is to any other country. This system is built according to trust and this trust needs a lot of procedures and a lot of education for other countries to adopt it,” Elabbar said.

The most often noted difference between American elections among the visitors was that in most U.S. states, voters need no identification. Voters can also vote by mail, sometimes online, and there’s often no way to know if one person has voted several times under different names, unlike in some Arab countries, where voters ink their fingers when casting their ballots.

The international visitors also noted that there’s no police at U.S. polling stations. In foreign countries, police at polling places are viewed as signs of security; in the United States they are sometimes seen as intimidating.

4:10 p.m. – Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey with a caution about the exit polls which are about to assail the public…

They’re nonsense.

Oh, I don’t mean completed exit polling.  We use that all of the time, but we use it for its intended purpose of demographic analysis.  Pollsters ask people leaving voting stations to complete surveys, and take the data from those willing to share it.  Later, those reports are matched to the actual vote in order to weight the raw data properly, since the sample is so uncontrolled, especially since different precincts will have different response rates, and not every precinct is covered by pollsters. Only later, when all of the votes have been counted and the raw data adjusted, can even the demographics be considered reliable.

Exit polls aren’t really intended to predict outcomes ahead of the vote being counted.  Media organizations will use the raw data in specific ways — generally to gauge outcomes in bellwether precincts — and match them to vote totals, earlier polling, and historical election results to make calls on which candidate will win the state.  Even then, though, they can’t do that without (a) the actual vote counts being reported after the polls have closed, and (b) complete sets of raw exit-polling data.

The “early exit polls” released in the afternoon are nothing more significant than a tease for data-starved media outlets, and data-starved media consumers.  Taking them seriously leads to embarrassing outcomes, as the adviser to John Kerry who started calling him “Mr. President”discovered in 2004 when the early exit polls supposedly showed a five-point victory in the offing for Democrats.

Take that note in concert with what novelist Brad Thor offered up this morning – namely, that the Obama campaign could be planning some psy-ops against Romney voters…

New York Times best-selling author Brad Thor, based in Chicago, tells TheBlaze that the Obama campaign may be planning to preemptively announce victory in the presidential election based on early voting numbers in an attempt to “demoralize Mitt Romney supporters.”

Citing a “very solid source” in Chicago, Thor says the Obama campaign is looking to make it appear to voters that they have “this thing sewed up and are less than 24 hours to victory,” according to his source.

Meanwhile, team Obama will also urge voters to get out and vote so they can say they were part of the important 2012 election that resulted in a second term for Obama.

While Thor can’t reveal his source, he told TheBlaze multiple times that the source is very reliable.

3:50 p.m. – Also in Ohio, some news from the Senate race there – an election eve sleazy attack from GOP candidate Josh Mandel’s in-laws about his views on gay marriage…

But Mandel’s views are, apparently, unpopular with those closest to him, as members of his wife’s extended family expressed in a letter penned to the Cleveland Leader Monday.

“Four years ago you came into our family. We still remember the excitement surrounding your wedding, and how happy our family members were as they described it afterwards,” the letter read. “So we were deeply saddened when you announced during your Oct. 18 debate with Sen. Sherrod Brown that you believe only some people should share this right to marry the person they love, while others should not.

”

The family members who wrote and signed the letter included such notable names as real estate magnate Bruce Ratner, part-owner of the Brooklyn Nets NBA team, Michael Ratner, president of the Center for Constitutional Rights, and Ellen Ratner, a Fox News Channel contributor. The letter mentioned Ellen Ratner’s marriage to Cholene Espinoza as an example of a couple whose civil rights Mandel is trying to undermine.

“Your cousins, Ellen Ratner and Cholene Espinoza, are among the many wonderful couples whose rights you do not recognize,” the letter read. “Their wedding, like yours, was a beautiful and happy occasion for all of us in our family. It hurts us that you would embrace discrimination against them and countless other loving couples in Ohio and around the country.

”

Northeastern Ohio has a lot of traditional Catholics in it. One wonders if this shot really hurts Mandel – or whether it might actually help him.

3:00 p.m. – So far it looks good in Ohio. The early vote percentage is nowhere near the 40 percent Obama and his minions have built into their projections…

The reported early voting numbers, however, show that virtually every single Ohio poll overestimated the amount of early votes cast. If early voting is calculated at 1,787,346, in order for total voter turnout to rival 2004 numbers, early voting cannot occupy more than 32% of the total votes cast — and even in that scenario, that high of a percentage means that total voter turnout will be lower than it was in 2008. In order for turnout to match 2008 levels, early voting can only account for 31% of total votes cast.

The next important piece of data is what the polls consistently report: Obama leads by huge margins among early voters but trails Romney among those who say they will vote on election day. This inverse in voting segments is why the proportion of early votes in the total votes — and that virtually every poll overestimated this proportion — is so tantamount. In most polls (which usually only have Obama leading by a small margin, although some give him a more comfortable ~+5%), lowering the percentage of early votes in the polling sample means lowering Obama’s lead drastically. And when Obama’s lead is only one or two percentage points, that can mean handing the election to Mitt Romney.

We now know how many early votes there were. Unless turnout in Ohio is less than it was eight years ago, it doesn’t look like he’s going to win there if the margins both from the polling of that state and 2008 performance.

And more at RedState…

To break it down: In 2008 early voting in counties that Obama won were 67% of the total, with 33% of early votes coming from counties that voted for McCain.  The same ratio in 2012? 64%/36%.  BUT! Kerry/Obama counties showed a 10% decrease; Bush/McCain counties showed a 14% increase… and Bush/Obama (which is to say, counties that went for Bush in ’04 and Obama in ’08) counties showed a .6% increase.  We know that absentee ballot requests across the board trended more Republican, so it seems fair to me that we can legitimately at least speculate that Bush/Obama counties are reverting back to the GOP… which means that the blue/red county ratio is much more likely to be closer to 53%/47%.

If true, that is very bad news for Obama, because it means that he cannot hope to rack up the same early voting lead that he had in 2008.  Especially since we can’t separate out those county votes by partisan ID, yet.  When we can I fully expect that the Romney/Obama split to be closer to even.

1:55 p.m. – Hey, thank God they took care of that Obama mural in Philadelphia…

1:45 p.m. – Back to Pennsylvania, former governor Tom Ridge sounds optimistic…

“I don’t think the folks in those counties, Bucks, Montgomery, et cetera, particularly care for the divisive nature of this presidency, the class warfare. A lot of them have sons and daughters that graduated from college who can’t find a job. So you pull these things together and there is an intensity and an excitement as evidenced by the 30,000 people in 45 degree weather on Sunday night we haven’t seen in Pennsylvania in a long, long time.”

1:40 p.m. – Dirty tricks in Ohio. Via Weasel Zippers…

Breitbart has more on this…

Flyers claiming to be from a non-existent Tea Party in Medina, Ohio were placed in mailboxes on Monday urging Ohio voters to defeat “the n***er” in the White House to “help keep our country strong and white.”

The flyers, obtained by Breitbart News, were found in mailboxes along Rt. 252 in Medina County, Ohio. It is against federal law to place such flyers into mailboxes.

Amy Brighton, Co-founder and Co-coordinator of Medina Tea Party Patriots, told Breitbart News that these “disgusting” flyers were a “desperate attempt to smear the millions of Americans involved in and supportive of the tea party movement on the eve of the election.”

“A person or people claiming to be from a non-existent tea party group targeted voters in Ohio with a vile, racially charged flyer,” Brighton said.

Brighton asserted, “this disgusting piece of literature is the antithesis of what the tea party movement stands for.” He denounced the flyers and those responsible for them. […]

The flyer claims to be from MCTP (or Medina County Tea Party), which does not exist.  

1:35 p.m. – The Romney campaign’s final web ad, which is terrific.

1:10 p.m. – If Romney is going to win this thing big, items like this might be an indication…

The Obama campaign’s internal polling data — their final polling data — has them “for the first time worried,” a Democratic source familiar with the campaign tells Newsmax.

“They are going like YIKES! after they saw the Michigan numbers this morning,” the source said.

The Obama poll finds Michigan tied, which has the Obama camp “scratching their heads.”

Here’s the rundown of the Obama internals:

• Michigan TIED
• Pennsylvania Obama +3: “Not a good sign, Obama was leading there by 10 points two weeks ago and Romney is rallying voters there today.”
• Ohio Obama +2: “Romney is definitely closing the gap.”
• Virginia Obama +2: “They feel they have it, Obama wins Virginia.”
• Colorado Obama +3
• New Hampshire TIED
• Florida “They’ve conceded it to Romney.”

“This is really not good, things are not trending their way,” the source said.

Obama’s internal polling is largely dependent on a turnout model exactly like 2008. If those are the numbers his internal polling is showing, he’s doomed. A plus-2 margin in Ohio and Virginia means he’s going to lose there. And a plus-3 margin in Colorado means he’ll lose there as well.

1:00 p.m. – And another piece of electioneering for Obama. A poster in Tallahassee…

12:40 p.m. – More from Philadelphia: blatant electioneering. How does this mural not get covered before election day?

It’s clear the Democrats are doing everything they can to run up the score in Philadelphia and in doing so overwhelm the big Republican numbers elsewhere in Pennsylvania. That’s why they went out of their way to throw GOP poll-watchers out of 70 precincts in Philly; they’re aiming to stuff ballot boxes.

Don’t be surprised to see (1) record turnout in Philadelphia and (2) an even bigger number for Obama than in 2008. And if you see that, it means the fix – or at least the attempted fix – is in.

12:27 p.m. – An interesting quote from Mitt Romney on the decision to campaign in Ohio and Pennsylvania today, which is something of an unusual decision. Romney’s rationale, courtesy of the White House Insider:

“We have people out there working on my behalf.  The least I can do is to keep on working for them right to the very end.  Isn’t that what this is really all about?” 

10:09 a.m. – We’ll get things started with Black Panthers and Democrat thuggery in Philadelphia.

But first, the New York Post ran this image on their front cover…

And now the Black Panthers.

They’re back in Philadelphia. And at the same polling place as four years ago.

No night stick that we can see.

And it doesn’t look like he’s affirmatively doing anything, other than maybe intimidating people. Which we can’t say about the Democrats who run the polling stations in Philadelphia; they tried to throw GOP poll-watchers out this morning before a judge ordered them back in.

Because there was no intention to fix the vote in Philadelphia, right?

There are lots of reports on Twitter that True The Vote, a voter integrity organization, is sending some former Navy SEALs to that precinct in Philadelphia to ask the New Black Panthers to hit the road.

By the way, the New Black Panthers also apparently decided to make themselves heard in Ohio. Here they are at the Cuyahoga County Board of Elections in Cleveland this morning…