The Hayride

HAYRIDE-MAGELLAN POLL IN LOUISIANA: Trump 41, Cruz 21, Rubio 15

HAYRIDE-MAGELLAN POLL IN LOUISIANA: Trump 41, Cruz 21, Rubio 15
March 02
21:48 2016

Donald Trump’s momentum from Super Tuesday, which appeared to slow only in Texas and states bordering it, hits no roadblocks in Louisiana in advance of Saturday’s presidential primary. That’s the word from Magellan Strategies, which released the results of a poll it did of 609 registered Republican voters and 865 Democrats and Independents (the Democrat primary on Saturday will be open, while the GOP primary is for registered Republicans only) taken Tuesday night.

John Kasich has support from nine percent of the respondents, while Ben Carson, who may or may not have suspended his campaign today, has five percent.

On the Democrat side, it’s a major blowout. Hillary Clinton holds a 61-14 advantage over Bernie Sanders, with 25 percent undecided.

Trump beats Cruz in every demographic group except 18-34, where the Texas senator has a 28-27 advantage. Among voters 65 and older, Trump has a 41-19 advantage. Rubio scores 17 percent with both groups. Trump also carries every one of the state’s media markets, by margins ranging from 37-28 over Cruz (with Rubio at 17) in Baton Rouge to 49-23 over Cruz in Alexandria. In the New Orleans market, Trump wallops Cruz 44-19, with Rubio at only 12 percent.

Rubio beats Cruz for second place in the Lafayette (26-17, with Trump at 42 percent) and Lake Charles (21-19, with 30 percent for Trump) markets, and 21-19 among female voters (Trump leads with women, at 37 percent). Cruz and Rubio would need to top 20 percent on Saturday in order to be eligible for delegates.

Interestingly, a Trump-Clinton matchup holds the prospect of a good deal of crossover voting. Trump holds 75 percent of the Republican voters, with 10 percent going to Clinton and 25 percent undecided. But on the Democrat side, Clinton holds just 67 percent of the vote with Trump stealing 23 percent. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio do slightly better against Clinton with Republican voters and slightly worse against her with Democrats.

For the topline results, click here.

About Author

MacAoidh

MacAoidh

MacAoidh is the Gaelic spelling of Hayride publisher Scott McKay's last name. It's pronounced "Mac-AYE." McKay has published The Hayride since December 2009.

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