Brown-Coakley Update: The Day Before

Tomorrow night appears to herald the coming of a rather earth-shaking event; namely, Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley for a U.S. Senate seat from Massachusetts. Today wouldn’t necessarily qualify as the calm before the storm, as there seems to be a good deal of activity.

Or, perhaps not. Coakley can’t seem to get volunteers out on a snowy day in Boston to staff a phone bank at the Massachusetts teachers’ union building.

But on Brown’s side, he was able to turn out over 3,200 people in the snow yesterday for a rally attended by Doug Flutie, Curt Schilling and Cheers actor John Ratzenberger. And polls released in the last couple of days show Brown breaking ahead in a major way; a has Brown up 51.9 percent to 42.3 percent with 5.7 percent undecided, while a Merriman River Group poll released over the weekend has Brown over Coakley by 50.8 percent to 41.2 percent.

Supposedly Brown’s internal polling has him up between 10 and 12 percent, and the campaign has made the decision to keep that news extremely quiet for fear of awakening the Democrat machine.

But it’s becoming fairly clear that thanks to a terrible campaign by Coakley, a textbook one by Brown and the national mood bent on punishing Democrats for their excesses in 2009, the Brown camp might have less to worry about than they thought.

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