More November foreshadowing from the Mississippi Delta

Throughout this election cycle, we have seen polls conducted for various races across the country that show that scores of Democrats are in trouble. What about Congressional races closer to home ?

We would like to talk about a Congressional race in the Mississippi Delta in an area roughly bounded by the Mississippi River, Natchez, Memphis, and Jackson, Mississippi/I-55. The district is majority black, but is not overwhelmingly so (in other words, there is a significant conservative voter base). The incumbent in this district is a 16 year black Democrat named Bennie Thompson who has more often than not had competitive Congressional races, but he has always won by double digits.

Recently, however, we conducted a poll of registered and/or likely voters of the district.

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John is a political consultant and blogger with JMC Enterprises with expertise in poll sample development and analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy and demographic consulting, among other things. See his site at for more information.



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