A BAD DAY TO BE AN INCUMBENT: Decision 2012 (May 8 IN/NC/WV Primaries)


Current Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 44-43% Republican

Prior Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 42-40% Republican

The anti-incumbent wave which in 2010 cost 63 Congressmen (7 in the primary and 56 on Election Day) their jobs showed no signs of abating after last night’s primaries in Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia. The latest casualty was 36 year incumbent Republican Senator Richard Lugar (he last had a competitive race in 1982).

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