Don’t Be Shocked, But Louisiana Is One Of The Most Conservative States In The Country

So says Gallup, the same organization which last week called Louisiana one of the most politically competitive states in the country.

Now, they’re saying you can’t get much more conservative than Louisiana is.

Mississippi, Alabama and Louisiana are the most right-leaning states in the union, with between 46% and 49% of residents in each identifying as politically conservative. Massachusetts, Vermont and Hawaii are the most left-leaning, with 30% of residents in each of those states identifying as liberal.

The most liberal states aren’t much of a surprise…

Here’s something interesting as a measure of the current trend…

The top 10 most conservative states in 2014 are very similar to the top 10 in 2013, with the exception of Louisiana, which was not in the top 10 list in 2013, but replaced Wyoming in the top 10 this year.

We know Louisiana is drifting rightward. Now we’re seeing a concrete showing of that fact.

But how do you square the ideological blowout in the state with the fact that Republicans and Democrats are so close in party ID?

Probably the jungle primary. You can be a registered Democrat and it won’t make a bit of difference in who you might vote for. If there were closed party primaries in the state, you’d want to register as a Republican if you lean that way, because otherwise you wouldn’t get a chance to vote for a candidate who might most closely represent your views. With a jungle primary you could belong to any party you want and vote for whoever you want.

The elimination of the jungle primary might well become an issue in this spring’s legislative session. Both parties are talking about it; the Republicans for obvious reasons and the Democrats because they can’t hardly find candidates anymore outside of majority-black districts and when you’re not actually running candidates as a political party you’re not actually raising money. At some point that becomes a problem the Louisiana Democrat Party has to address – and from a strategic standpoint their only hope of winning elections on a wide scale in Louisiana again is for the GOP to begin choosing far-right, out-of-the-mainstream candidates in party primaries and giving them an opening to the middle. In a jungle primary setting that isn’t likely to happen, because right now Republicans occupy the middle and conservatives can almost get to 50 based on the Gallup numbers.



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