New Governor’s Race Poll Still Shows A Vitter-Edwards Runoff

This one is an independent poll done by Triumph Campaigns, a firm out of Jackson, Mississippi which polled the governor’s race back in March. At that time, David Vitter was in the lead with 35 percent and John Bel Edwards was second at 33. In third was Jay Dardenne at 15 percent, while Scott Angelle brought up the rear with seven percent.

The current results are a little different, but fundamentally the same.

The poll had a sample size of 1,653 respondents and a margin of error of 2.4 percent. It was done on June 29th and 30th, and the . And the results:

Vitter 31%
Edwards 30%
Angelle 14%
Dardenne 11%

There were 14 percent undecided.

Vitter has dropped four points since March in the Triumph poll, and Edwards three. Angelle’s media push has doubled his support and gained him seven points, while Dardenne has dropped four points.

And the most important thing at this point – if you add Angelle and Dardenne together you still can’t get to Edwards. This poll doesn’t really show an avenue for one of them to get into the runoff unless the other were to get out.

We’ve had a series of polls on the race over the past several months, and though there may be slight variations in the numbers they all say basically the same thing.

Perhaps more interesting are some of the other results in the poll. Here’s one…

triumph poll gay marriage

And here’s another…

triumph poll lee circle

The sample of the poll was 69 percent white and 28 percent black. 50 percent of the respondents identified as Democrats, and 35 percent said they’re Republicans.

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