This One Chart Explains Why Donald Trump Is Doing Well

Pew Research Center has come out with a poll last week that shows 24% of all Americans view both the Republican Party and the Democrat Party unfavorably.

Pew1

The reason why that number has spiked, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are dissatisfied with the Republican Party.

Yet the rise in frustration with the parties, especially this year, is not the result of an across-the-board increase in negative views. Instead, it is largely concentrated among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, who have become increasingly critical of the Republican Party.

Currently, 36% of independents express unfavorable opinions of both parties, as do 22% of Republicans and just 9% of Democrats. The biggest shift in opinion has come among Republicans, whose unfavorable impression of both parties is more than double the percentage in January (9%). Democrats’ unfavorable view of the two parties is little changed from the start of the year (8%).

Among independents, there has been a particularly stark rise in the unfavorable views of both parties among Republican-leaning independents, while there is little change in these views among Democratic leaners. Nearly half (47%) of Republican leaners have an unfavorable impression of both the Republican and Democratic parties, up from 32% in January and the highest percentage measured since 1992. Among Democratic-leaning independents, as among Democrats, there has been almost no change since January (22% today, 21% then).

Why would that be? Because Republican leaders don’t seem to be able to keep the promises they were elected on. Conservatives feel betrayed on issue after issue. They’ve witnessed example after example of Failure Theater from the GOP.

Out of this discontent rises a demagogue, Donald Trump. He’s an outlet for low-info conservatives who can’t beat Boehner and McConnell.

The only way to defeat Trump and other demagogues like him is to give conservatives a reason to support the GOP. Conservatives want action, not talk.

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