Race analysis

Tonight, a special election in Acadiana gave the GOP control of both houses of the Louisiana for the first time since Reconstruction. State Representative Jonathan Perry (R-Kaplan) was victorious over Democrat and police juror Nathan Granger by a 52-48% margin, despite Granger’s having a significant financial advantage. This victory was especially impressive, considering that Granger dominated the early vote with 55%. So what were the components of Perry’s victory in a district that once gave Bobby Jindal 38% of the vote in his first run for Governor?

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John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information.

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