Early voting for the Congressional elections/runoff elections for local races started yesterday and will continue until Tuesday, October 26. From examining early voting statistics provided to us by the Secretary of State, there are several things we noticed:
(1) We expected that November early voting would be equivalent to that of a statewide election and, based on the first day’s results, weren’t disappointed. Yesterday, 17297 voters cast an early vote, which we project will equal a 121100 early vote volume by the time early voting concludes next Tuesday (or a statewide turnout between 28-41%). To put this figure in perspective, in the moderate turnout 2007 Governor’s primary, 139400 early voted. And in the high turnout 2008 Presidential race, 283500 early voted;
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John Couvillon is a political consultant. His company is JMC Enterprises of Louisiana, Inc. with expertise in the data analysis aspects of political campaigns, such as poll sample development/analysis, development of targeted voter files for phone canvassing or mail outs, campaign strategy, and demographic consulting. See his site at WinWithJMC.com for more information.