Trouble In Paradise: Landrieu Trails Behind Cassidy Among Likely Voters

Landrieu and Cassidy 2In a recent survey conducted by the Liberty Foundation of America, Rep. Bill Cassidy slightly leads incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu among likely voters in the state of Louisiana.

The survey, conducted between April 14-15 with 775 likely voters in the state, found that when asked “If the election for the United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for Democrat Mary Landrieu or Republican Bill Cassidy,” Cassidy received 44 percent of the vote, while Landrieu trailed with 42 percent.

And though the survey represented more women and democrats, it was not enough for Landrieu to pull ahead.

The bad news for Landrieu comes just after a poll conducted by the New York Times and Kaiser Family Foundation put Landrieu leading the pack  with 42 percent, while Cassidy only received 18 percent. The poll, however, was produced using 946 registered voters in Louisiana, not likely voters, and had a +4 or -4 percent margin of error.

In the Liberty Foundation survey, about 10 percent of likely voters opted to vote for another candidate, which may have been Republican Col. Rob Maness, who is also running for the seat, or Republican State Rep. Paul Hollis. And, about 4 percent of likely voters said they were undecided on the senatorial candidates.

Among the likely voters surveyed, 51 percent said they were registered Democrats, while only 35 percent said they were registered Republicans. This, alone, seems to be troublesome for Landrieu, considering she and Cassidy are running this close in a poll that is made up of a majority of Democrats. 

Only 14 percent of the likely voters surveyed said they were Independents.

Women represented a majority in the survey as well, making up 55 percent of those surveyed, while men represented 45 percent of the likely voters.

As far as race, the pool of likely voters was made up of approximately 70 percent of White Americans, 24 percent of Black Americans, 1 percent of Hispanic Americans and 5 percent of another racial group.

In age demographics, those 65 and up made up the majority with 27 percent, followed by the 55-64 category at 24 percent, the 45-54 age bracket at 21 percent, 30-44 years old at 20 percent and 18-29 at only 7 percent.

Also, the survey asked likely voters to pick between likely Republican presidential candidates. Former Gov. Jeb Bush, surprisingly, received 25 percent, followed by Fox News Host and Former Gov. Mike Huckabee with 17 percent.

The younger likely presidential candidates trailed for 3rd, 4th and 5th place, with Sen. Ted Cruz garnering 13 percent, Libertarian-leaning Sen. Rand Paul receiving 9 percent and Sen. Marco Rubio taking in 9 percent as well.

The survey was conducted specifically by Mallegan Strategies out of Oklahoma City, OK and had a margin of error of 3.52 percent.

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