Report: 39 states ill-prepared for economic crisis resulting from coronavirus-related state shutdowns

Only 11 states reported a taxpayer surplus at the end of the fiscal year 2019, the 11th annual Financial State of the States report published Tuesday by Truth in Accounting (TIA) found. The majority, 39 states, did not have enough money to pay their bills and were ill-prepared for any crisis, let alone economic free falls resulting from state shutdowns implemented to slow the spread of the coronavirus.

Since March, more than 40 million people were forced out of work due to state shutdowns.

The Chicago-based nonprofit education organization reviewed all 50 states’ finances including the most up-to-date state finance and pension data.

It found that all 50 states combined reported $1.4 trillion worth of debt, including $855 billion in pension debt and $617 billion in other post-employment benefits debt. The analysis excludes debt related to capital assets.

The majority of states went into 2020 “in poor fiscal health and they will most likely come out of it even worse,” Sheila Weinberg, founder and CEO of Truth in Accounting, said.

According to TIA’s rough estimates, all 50 states are projected to lose a combined $397 billion in revenue. The uncertainty resulting from the economic crisis caused by state shutdowns “makes it impossible to determine how much will be needed to maintain government services and benefits, but these states’ overall debt will most likely increase,” TIA states.

One-fifth of states entered 2020 with surpluses. The ten states reporting taxpayer surpluses were Alaska ($77,400 per taxpayer), North Dakota ($37,700), Wyoming ($19,600), Utah ($5,500), and Tennessee ($3,400), followed by South Dakota, Nebraska, Idaho, Oregon and Iowa.

New Jersey ranked the worst, having the highest taxpayer burden of $57,900 per taxpayer, meaning each taxpayer would need to pay $57,900 to pay New Jersey’s debt.

Illinois was not far behind, reporting a $52,000 taxpayer burden. Connecticut’s per-taxpayer burden is $50,700, followed by Hawaii ($31,700), and Massachusetts ($30,100).

Rounding out the bottom ten were Delaware, Kentucky, California, Vermont, and New York, which has a per-taxpayer burden of $17,200, slightly more than one-third less than its neighboring New Jersey.

Data for the report was derived from states’ 2019 comprehensive annual financial reports and retirement plans’ reports, with the exception of California. As of Aug. 31, 2020, California had not released its FY 2019 comprehensive annual financial report. Data used was from FY 2018.

“Government reports are lengthy, cumbersome, and sometimes misleading documents,” TIA argues, “taxpayers and citizens deserve easy-to-understand, truthful, and transparent financial information from their governments.”



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